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Hurricane NORBERT


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BULLETIN
HURRICANE NORBERT ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142014
800 PM PDT FRI SEP 05 2014

...NORBERT EVEN STRONGER...
...EXPECTED TO MOVE PARALLEL TO THE WEST COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
THROUGH SUNDAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.2N 112.8W
ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM SW OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
ABOUT 285 MI...460 KM SSE OF PUNTA EUGENIA MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...110 MPH...175 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...961 MB...28.38 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FROM CABO SAN LUCAS TO LA PAZ.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SANTA FE TO CABO SAN LAZARO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LA PAZ TO SAN EVARISTO
* WEST OF CABO SAN LUCAS TO SOUTH OF SANTA FE
* NORTH OF CABO SAN LAZARO TO PUNTA EUGENIA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SAN EVARISTO TO LORETO

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE EYE OF HURRICANE NORBERT WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 24.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.8 WEST. NORBERT IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H. A GENERAL NORTHWESTWARD
MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT
COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF NORBERT WILL
MOVE PARALLEL TO THE WEST COAST OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
THROUGH THE WEEKEND.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 110 MPH...175 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS...AND SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE
IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. WEAKENING IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN ON SATURDAY
AND NORBERT IS FORECAST TO WEAKEN TO A TROPICAL STORM BY LATE
SUNDAY.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140
MILES...220 KM.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 961 MB...28.38 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...ANY DEVIATION OF THE CENTER OF NORBERT TO THE RIGHT OF THE
FORECAST TRACK WILL BRING HURRICANE FORCE WINDS TO A PORTION OF THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA IN THE NEXT FEW HOURS. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE SPREADING NORTHWARD WITHIN THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREAS THROUGH SUNDAY. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA TONIGHT AND SATURDAY.

RAINFALL...NORBERT IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
6 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS NEAR 10 INCHES THROUGH SATURDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS ASSOCIATED WITH NORBERT AFFECTING PORTIONS OF
THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO AND THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
GULF OF CALIFORNIA SHOULD GRADUALLY SUBSIDE THROUGH SATURDAY. LARGE
SWELLS AFFECTING THE COAST OF THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
WILL SPREAD NORTHWARD ALONG THE WEST COAST OF THE PENINSULA THROUGH
THE WEEKEND. THESE SWELLS WILL PRODUCE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS AND
RIP CURRENTS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN

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