Tropical Storm NORBERT

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM NORBERT ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP142014
800 AM PDT WED SEP 03 2014

...NORBERT EXPECTED TO BECOME A HURRICANE LATER TODAY...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.6N 108.8W
ABOUT 240 MI...385 KM SSE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 295 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...995 MB...29.39 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LA PAZ TO SANTA FE MEXICO

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF SANTA FE NORTHWARD TO CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

A HURRICANE WATCH COULD BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA LATER TODAY.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM NORBERT WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.8 WEST.  NORBERT IS
MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H.  NORBERT
SHOULD TURN TOWARD THE NORTHWEST LATER TODAY AND CONTINUE THAT
GENERAL MOTION FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE
CENTER OF NORBERT IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON THURSDAY...AND MOVE NEARLY PARALLEL TO
THE PACIFIC COAST OF THE PENINSULA ON FRIDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  NORBERT IS EXPECTED TO BECOME A
HURRICANE LATER TODAY...AND CONTINUE STRENGTHENING FOR THE NEXT DAY
OR TWO.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 60 MILES...95 KM
FROM THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 995 MB...29.39 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA
BY THURSDAY MORNING.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY THURSDAY AFTERNOON.

RAINFALL...NORBERT IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO
5 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN PART OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA
THROUGH FRIDAY.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS WILL AFFECT PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST
OF MEXICO TODAY AND THURSDAY...AND PRODUCE DANGEROUS SURF CONDITIONS
AND RIP CURRENTS.  LARGE SWELLS WILL GRADUALLY SPREAD NORTHWARD INTO
THE SOUTHERN GULF OF CALIFORNIA AND AFFECT THE SOUTHERN PORTIONS OF
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR BY THURSDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE

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