Hurricane ISELLE

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HURRICANE ISELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092014
0900 UTC SUN AUG 03 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 131.8W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  968 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 131.8W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 131.4W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 15.4N 133.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 15.6N 135.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 15.7N 137.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 15.7N 138.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 16.0N 142.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 17.3N 147.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 19.0N 154.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 131.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
 
 
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