Hurricane ISELLE

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HURRICANE ISELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092014
0300 UTC SUN AUG 03 2014

CORRECTED FOR 72- AND 120-HOUR INTENSITIES

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 131.0W AT 03/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  968 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 120SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 131.0W AT 03/0300Z
AT 03/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.1N 130.6W

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 15.4N 132.6W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 15.6N 134.6W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 15.7N 136.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 15.8N 137.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 15.9N 141.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 16.6N 146.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0000Z 17.8N 152.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.2N 131.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN


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