Tropical Storm DOUGLAS

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TROPICAL STORM DOUGLAS FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042014
0900 UTC TUE JUL 01 2014
 
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 115.3W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1001 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......  0NE  90SE  60SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 180SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.8N 115.3W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.5N 115.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.1N 115.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  90SE  60SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.4N 116.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 19.6N 116.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 19.7N 117.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 20.0N 118.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 20.5N 120.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 21.0N 123.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.8N 115.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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