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HURRICANE CRISTINA
SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032014
1230 UTC THU JUN 12 2014

CORRECTED 12-FT SEAS

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 106.9W AT 12/1230Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  940 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 125 KT WITH GUSTS TO 150 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE  90SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.4N 106.9W AT 12/1230Z
AT 12/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.1N 106.1W

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 16.7N 107.5W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 17.5N 108.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 18.3N 110.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0600Z 19.0N 111.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0600Z 19.7N 112.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0600Z 20.0N 114.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 20.0N 116.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.4N 106.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG


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Page last modified: Wednesday, 22-Oct-2014 12:09:32 UTC