Hurricane CRISTINA

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HURRICANE CRISTINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032014
0300 UTC THU JUN 12 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 105.8W AT 12/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  975 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  70SW 130NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 105.8W AT 12/0300Z
AT 12/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.8N 105.4W

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 16.4N 106.7W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 17.1N 108.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 17.9N 109.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 18.7N 110.6W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 19.6N 112.3W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/0000Z 20.2N 113.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/0000Z 20.5N 115.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.0N 105.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI


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