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Hurricane CRISTINA (Text)


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HURRICANE CRISTINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032014
2100 UTC WED JUN 11 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 105.2W AT 11/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  986 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  15SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE  45SE  45SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 105.2W AT 11/2100Z
AT 11/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.5N 105.0W

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 16.0N 106.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 16.6N 107.8W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 17.3N 109.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1800Z 18.1N 110.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1800Z 19.1N 112.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1800Z 19.5N 113.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1800Z 19.9N 115.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 105.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


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Page last modified: Tuesday, 23-Sep-2014 12:09:23 UTC