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Tropical Storm CRISTINA (Text)


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TROPICAL STORM CRISTINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032014
0900 UTC TUE JUN 10 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 102.4W AT 10/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   3 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 102.4W AT 10/0900Z
AT 10/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 102.2W

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 15.6N 103.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 15.6N 104.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 15.7N 105.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0600Z 16.1N 107.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0600Z 17.3N 109.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 14/0600Z 18.4N 112.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 15/0600Z 19.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 102.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN


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Page last modified: Thursday, 18-Sep-2014 12:09:21 UTC