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Tropical Depression THREE-E (Text)


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TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032014
2100 UTC MON JUN 09 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 102.0W AT 09/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
12 FT SEAS.. 80NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 102.0W AT 09/2100Z
AT 09/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.4N 101.8W

FORECAST VALID 10/0600Z 15.5N 102.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 10/1800Z 15.6N 103.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/0600Z 15.7N 105.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 11/1800Z 15.9N 106.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1800Z 16.6N 109.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 13/1800Z 17.6N 112.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 14/1800Z 18.7N 114.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.4N 102.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


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Page last modified: Monday, 22-Sep-2014 12:09:26 UTC