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Hurricane AMANDA (Text)


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HURRICANE AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP012014
0900 UTC MON MAY 26 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 111.6W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  945 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 120 KT WITH GUSTS TO 145 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 180SE 250SW 250NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 111.6W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.8N 111.5W

FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 13.8N 111.8W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 14.8N 112.1W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 15.7N 112.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 16.3N 112.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 16.9N 112.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 17.3N 112.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 17.8N 111.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 111.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI


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Page last modified: Monday, 15-Sep-2014 12:09:17 UTC