Hurricane GONZALO

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

HURRICANE GONZALO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
0900 UTC FRI OCT 17 2014

AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE
29.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 66.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR
115 KTS...130 MPH...215 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        06Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON 06Z TUE 06Z WED

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  68(71)   X(71)   X(71)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  30(30)   X(30)   X(30)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)

CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)  28(28)  17(45)   X(45)   X(45)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   7(11)   X(11)   X(11)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)  12(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)

BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)

SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   8(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

BERMUDA        34 92   8(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
BERMUDA        50 34  66(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
BERMUDA        64  7  88(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)   X(95)

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/BRENNAN
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