Hurricane GONZALO

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE GONZALO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   7               
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014               
0300 UTC TUE OCT 14 2014                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.4 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
75 KTS...85 MPH...140 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z TUE AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 00Z THU 00Z FRI 00Z SAT 00Z SUN
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  49(51)  19(70)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  21(21)  15(36)
BERMUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   9(18)
 
MAYAGUANA      34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
GRAND TURK     34  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   2( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
PUERTO PLATA   34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
SANTO DOMINGO  34  1   2( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
PONCE          34  2   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
SAN JUAN       34  3   3( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
SAINT THOMAS   34 15   2(17)   2(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
 
SAINT CROIX    34  3   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
SAINT MAARTEN  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SAINT MAARTEN  50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
ST KITTS-NEVIS 34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BARBUDA        34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BRENNAN                                                  
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