Tropical Storm GONZALO

ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM GONZALO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
1500 UTC MON OCT 13 2014

AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM GONZALO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 61.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 55 KTS...65 MPH...100 KM/H.

Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   EASTERN  STANDARD TIME (EST)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
   CENTRAL  STANDARD TIME (CST)...SUBTRACT 6 HOURS FROM Z TIME

WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS

CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS

PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
        12Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)

PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.


  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -

               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM
  TIME       12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO
             00Z TUE 12Z TUE 00Z WED 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI 12Z SAT

FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION       KT

BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  35(40)
BERMUDA        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)
BERMUDA        64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)

MAYAGUANA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)

GRAND TURK     34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   7(14)   1(15)   X(15)

PUERTO PLATA   34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   2( 6)   3( 9)   1(10)   X(10)

SANTO DOMINGO  34  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   1( 6)   2( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)

PONCE          34  2   4( 6)   4(10)   2(12)   1(13)   X(13)   X(13)

SAN JUAN       34  2  16(18)   7(25)   2(27)   1(28)   X(28)   X(28)
SAN JUAN       50  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

SAINT THOMAS   34  6  49(55)   2(57)   1(58)   X(58)   X(58)   X(58)
SAINT THOMAS   50  1  19(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
SAINT THOMAS   64  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

SAINT CROIX    34  6  18(24)   3(27)   1(28)   X(28)   X(28)   X(28)
SAINT CROIX    50  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

SAINT MAARTEN  34 98   1(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
SAINT MAARTEN  50 77   3(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)
SAINT MAARTEN  64  9   2(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)

ST KITTS-NEVIS 34 93   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)   X(93)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 50 35   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
ST KITTS-NEVIS 64  2   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)

BARBUDA        34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
BARBUDA        50 81   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)   X(81)

ANTIGUA        34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
ANTIGUA        50 13   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)

GUADELOUPE     34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)

AVES           34  2   2( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)

$$
FORECASTER STEWART
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