Skip Navigation Links
NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Hurricane GONZALO


ZCZC MIATCPAT3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

BULLETIN
HURRICANE GONZALO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  23A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
200 AM AST SAT OCT 18 2014

...GONZALO STILL PRODUCING HURRICANE-FORCE WIND GUSTS AS IT MOVES
AWAY FROM BERMUDA...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...33.5N 63.9W
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM NE OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...105 MPH...165 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 30 DEGREES AT 17 MPH...28 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...955 MB...28.20 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR...
* ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 36 HOURS.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE GONZALO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 63.9 WEST. GONZALO IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/H. A CONTINUED
NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED TODAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF GONZALO WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM BERMUDA TODAY...AND PASS JUST TO THE
SOUTHEAST OF NEWFOUNDLAND ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 105 MPH...165 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. ADDITIONAL SLOW WEAKENING IS EXPECTED
OVERNIGHT...WITH FASTER WEAKENING FORECAST TO OCCUR BY THIS
AFTERNOON WHEN GONZALO MOVES OVER COOLER WATERS.

HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 45 MILES...75 KM...FROM
THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175
MILES...280 KM. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 59 MPH...95 KM/H...AND A GUST
TO 70 MPH...113 KM/H...WERE RECENTLY REPORTED AT THE BERMUDA
AIRPORT. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 61 MPH...98 KM/H...AND A GUST TO 82
MPH...132 KM/H...WERE RECENTLY REPORTED AT AN ELEVATED OBSERVATION
SITE AT COMMISSIONER'S POINT BERMUDA. A SUSTAINED WIND OF 52
MPH...84 KM/H...AND A GUST TO 87 MPH...139 KM/H...WERE RECENTLY
REPORTED AT AN ELEVATED OBSERVATION SITE AT ST. DAVID'S BERMUDA NEAR
THE AIRPORT.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 955 MB...28.20 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...HURRICANE-FORCE WIND GUSTS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE ON
BERMUDA FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF HOURS...WITH TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS EXPECTED OVERNIGHT. IT SHOULD BE NOTED THAT WIND SPEEDS
ATOP AND ON THE WINDWARD SIDES OF HILLY TERRAIN ARE OFTEN UP TO 30
PERCENT STRONGER THAN AT THE SURFACE...AND IN SOME ELEVATED
LOCATIONS CAN BE EVEN GREATER.

TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH
AREA IN NEWFOUNDLAND BY EARLY SUNDAY.

STORM SURGE...A DANGEROUS AND LIFE-THREATENING STORM SURGE IS
EXPECTED TO PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT COASTAL FLOODING IN BERMUDA. NEAR
THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE
WAVES.

RAINFALL...GONZALO IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS
OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER BERMUDA.

SURF...LARGE SWELLS GENERATED BY GONZALO ARE STILL AFFECTING
PORTIONS OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COASTS OF PUERTO RICO
AND THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...PORTIONS OF THE BAHAMAS...PORTIONS OF
THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST...AND BERMUDA. SWELLS WILL SPREAD
NORTHWARD INTO PORTIONS OF ATLANTIC CANADA TODAY THROUGH SUNDAY.
THESE SWELLS WILL LIKELY CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. FOR MORE INFORMATION...PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR
LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN

NNNN