Hurricane GONZALO

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HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  23
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
0300 UTC SAT OCT 18 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS EFFECT FOR...
* ARNOLDS COVE TO CHAPELS COVE NEWFOUNDLAND

HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO RESUME ON BERMUDA SHORTLY...
AND CONTINUE UNTIL AROUND MIDNIGHT. TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS WILL
FOLLOW FOR A COUPLE OF HOURS AFTERWARDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N  64.5W AT 18/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  951 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 70NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......130NE 150SE 110SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..260NE 320SE 220SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N  64.5W AT 18/0300Z
AT 18/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.2N  64.9W

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 35.9N  62.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 160SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 41.2N  57.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  60SE  50SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 120SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 47.0N  49.7W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT...100NE 160SE  90SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 270SE 140SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 52.0N  39.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 140SE 120SW   0NW.
34 KT...120NE 270SE 180SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 57.0N  11.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 300SE 400SW 480NW.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/0000Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.7N  64.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART


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