Hurricane GONZALO

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HURRICANE GONZALO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL082014
2100 UTC WED OCT 15 2014
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR
BERMUDA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.  A WARNING IS TYPICALLY ISSUED 36 HOURS
BEFORE THE ANTICIPATED FIRST OCCURRENCE OF TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE
WINDS...CONDITIONS THAT MAKE OUTSIDE PREPARATIONS DIFFICULT OR
DANGEROUS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.1N  68.6W AT 15/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   9 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  953 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 110 KT WITH GUSTS TO 135 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......110NE  80SE  80SW 110NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 150SE 135SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.1N  68.6W AT 15/2100Z
AT 15/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.8N  68.3W
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 25.3N  68.9W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 27.2N  68.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 29.7N  67.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 140SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 32.9N  65.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  70SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 170SE 120SW 120NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 41.8N  58.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  50NW.
34 KT...200NE 220SE 150SW 120NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1800Z 51.0N  42.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 54.0N  20.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.1N  68.6W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
 
 
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