Subtropical Storm FAY

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SUBTROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL072014
0300 UTC SAT OCT 11 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 24 HOURS.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N  64.5W AT 11/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT.......  0NE   0SE   0SW  80NW.
34 KT.......120NE   0SE  30SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.9N  64.5W AT 11/0300Z
AT 11/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.3N  64.2W

FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 27.7N  64.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
34 KT...120NE  50SE  50SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 30.8N  64.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  50SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 33.9N  61.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 36.6N  56.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z...ABSORBED BY FRONT

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.9N  64.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN


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