Tropical Storm CRISTOBAL

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   7A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
800 AM EDT MON AUG 25 2014

...CRISTOBAL STRENGTHENS SLIGHTLY AS IT MOVES SLOWLY NORTHWARD
AWAY FROM THE BAHAMAS...


SUMMARY OF 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.7N 72.8W
ABOUT 115 MI...195 KM ENE OF SAN SALVADOR
ABOUT 715 MI...1155 KM SW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 5 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG
ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CRISTOBAL.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM EDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL
WAS LOCATED BY RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT TO BE NEAR LATITUDE 24.7
NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.8 WEST.  CRISTOBAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH
NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H. A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST AT A SLIGHTLY
FASTER FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY.  A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD
MOTION WITH A FURTHER INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED ON
TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF CRISTOBAL IS FORECAST
TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE BAHAMAS THROUGH TONIGHT.

REPORTS FROM AIR FORCE RESERVE AND NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
INDICATE THAT MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60
MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...AND CRISTOBAL COULD BECOME A
HURRICANE IN A COUPLE OF DAYS.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...220
KM...PRIMARILY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE RECENTLY MEASURED BY AIR FORCE
RESERVE AND NOAA RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT WAS 994 MB...29.36 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AS WELL AS
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS THROUGH
TUESDAY...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AROUND 12 INCHES POSSIBLE.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS COULD STILL OCCUR OVER PORTIONS
OF THE WARNING AREA THROUGH THIS MORNING.  STRONG GUSTY WINDS
ARE ALSO POSSIBLE OVER PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND
TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS THIS MORNING.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

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