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Tropical Storm CRISTOBAL (Text)

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1100 AM EDT MON AUG 25 2014

...CRISTOBAL MOVING ERRATICALLY NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD...
...HEAVY RAINFALL CONTINUES OVER THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.6N 72.7W
ABOUT 120 MI...195 KM ENE OF SAN SALVADOR
ABOUT 715 MI...1150 KM SW OF BERMUDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 15 DEGREES AT 2 MPH...4 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.33 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF BAHAMAS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

NONE.

INTERESTS IN BERMUDA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF CRISTOBAL.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM EDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM CRISTOBAL
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 24.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.7 WEST.
CRISTOBAL IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 2 MPH...4 KM/H.
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH TONIGHT. A TURN
TOWARD THE NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
FORECAST TO OCCUR ON TUESDAY. ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF
CRISTOBAL IS FORECAST TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE BAHAMAS THROUGH TUESDAY
AND PASS WEST OF BERMUDA ON WEDNESDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  GRADUAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND CRISTOBAL COULD BECOME A HURRICANE ON WEDNESDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 140 MILES...
220 KM...PRIMARILY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.33 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...CRISTOBAL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL TOTALS OF
4 TO 8 INCHES OVER THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS...AS WELL AS
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN AND CENTRAL BAHAMAS THROUGH
TUESDAY...WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS AROUND 12 INCHES POSSIBLE. MINOR
FLOODING HAS BEEN REPORTED NEAR PIRATES COVE ON MAYAGUANA ISLAND
DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...500 PM EDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

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