Hurricane CRISTOBAL

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HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
0300 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N  69.9W AT 28/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 330SE 190SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 34.1N  69.9W AT 28/0300Z
AT 28/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.5N  70.7W

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 36.1N  66.6W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 39.3N  59.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE  80SW  30NW.
34 KT...210NE 250SE 130SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 43.4N  51.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE  90SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 260SE 180SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 47.5N  44.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE 120SW 120NW.
34 KT...220NE 270SE 200SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 56.0N  32.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 160SE 160SW 140NW.
34 KT...220NE 280SE 200SW 200NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 62.5N  25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0000Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 34.1N  69.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


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