Hurricane CRISTOBAL

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HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
2100 UTC WED AUG 27 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N  71.4W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  30 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  984 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  30SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 360SE 190SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.7N  71.4W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.1N  72.0W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 34.4N  69.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 37.3N  63.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE  80SW  30NW.
34 KT...210NE 245SE 130SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 41.0N  55.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  60SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT... 90NE 130SE  90SW  40NW.
34 KT...210NE 260SE 180SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 45.3N  47.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...120NE 150SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...210NE 270SE 180SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 53.5N  34.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT...110NE 140SE 140SW 140NW.
34 KT...180NE 240SE 220SW 180NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 60.0N  27.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z...ABSORBED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.7N  71.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN


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