Hurricane CRISTOBAL

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HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
0900 UTC TUE AUG 26 2014
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BERMUDA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N  71.9W AT 26/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 80NE 180SE  60SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.0N  71.9W AT 26/0900Z
AT 26/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.5N  72.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 26/1800Z 28.1N  71.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 180SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 30.6N  71.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 80NE 180SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 32.6N  70.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...100NE 180SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 35.0N  68.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE  20SW  20NW.
34 KT...120NE 180SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 41.0N  55.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 200SE 100SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 30/0600Z 48.0N  40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 31/0600Z 57.0N  30.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.0N  71.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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