| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

---

Tropical Depression FOUR (Text)

ZCZC MIATCMAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
0300 UTC SUN AUG 24 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED
ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED
ISLANDS...AS WELL AS FOR THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG
ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS
OF THIS SYSTEM.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH WILL LIKELY BE REQUIRED FOR
THIS AREA ON SUNDAY MORNING.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N  72.6W AT 24/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.3N  72.6W AT 24/0300Z
AT 24/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 22.0N  72.4W

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 23.1N  73.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 23.9N  74.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 24.4N  74.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 24.8N  74.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 27.0N  76.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 29.5N  77.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0000Z 32.5N  75.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.3N  72.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


NNNN