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Tropical Storm BERTHA


ZCZC MIAPWSAT3 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11           
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032014               
1500 UTC SUN AUG 03 2014                                            
                                                                    
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS LOCATED NEAR       
LATITUDE 22.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        12Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       12Z SUN 00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             00Z MON 12Z MON 00Z TUE 12Z TUE 12Z WED 12Z THU 12Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
HIBERNIA OILFD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  28(31)
HIBERNIA OILFD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)
HIBERNIA OILFD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)  15(31)
CAPE RACE NFLD 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)
CAPE RACE NFLD 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  17(17)   5(22)
ILE ST PIERRE  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   3( 6)
ILE ST PIERRE  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  10(10)   2(12)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)   1( 9)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)   X(14)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)   X(13)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  34(37)   X(37)
SABLE ISLAND   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  15(15)   X(15)
SABLE ISLAND   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)   X(13)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)   X( 9)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BERMUDA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
GREAT EXUMA    34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
SAN SALVADOR   34 47   3(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)   X(50)
SAN SALVADOR   50  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MAYAGUANA      34 74   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)   X(74)
 
GRAND TURK     34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    
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