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Tropical Storm BERTHA (Text)


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TROPICAL STORM BERTHA ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL032014
500 AM AST SUN AUG 03 2014

...BERTHA MOVING AWAY FROM THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AND TOWARD THE
TURKS AND CAICOS AND THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...
...HEAVY RAINFALL STILL A THREAT FOR THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.9N 71.1W
ABOUT 80 MI...130 KM NNW OF PUERTO PLATA DOMINICAN REPUBLIC
ABOUT 40 MI...65 KM S OF GRAND TURK ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 21 MPH...33 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1012 MB...29.89 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC FROM CABO FRANCES VIEJO TO
ISLA SAONA
* THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS...INCLUDING THE ACKLINS...CROOKED
ISLAND...LONG CAY...THE INAGUAS...MAYAGUANA...AND THE RAGGED ISLANDS
* THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CENTRAL BAHAMAS...INCLUDING CAT ISLAND...THE EXUMAS...LONG
ISLAND...RUM CAY...AND SAN SALVADOR

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN 12 TO 24 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ACROSS HISPANIOLA AND THE BAHAMAS SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM BERTHA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.1 WEST. BERTHA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 21 MPH...33 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY.  A TURN TOWARD THE
NORTH-NORTHWEST AND THEN TOWARD THE NORTH IS EXPECTED BY TONIGHT
AND EARLY MONDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF BERTHA WILL
CONTINUE TO MOVE AWAY FROM THE NORTHEASTERN COAST OF THE DOMINICAN
REPUBLIC THIS MORNING...MOVE NEAR OR OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS
AND TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS BY THIS AFTERNOON...AND MOVE EAST OF
THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS LATE TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 45 MPH...75 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED TODAY.  SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST TO OCCUR ON MONDAY AND TUESDAY.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 160 MILES...260
KM...MAINLY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1012 MB...29.89 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE ACROSS
PORTIONS OF THE EASTERN DOMINICAN REPUBLIC IN THE WARNING AREA
LATER THIS MORNING. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN
THE SOUTHEASTERN BAHAMAS AND THE TURKS AND CAICOS ISLANDS BY LATE
MORNING. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA IN
THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS BY THIS EVENING.

RAINFALL...BERTHA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 1 TO 3
INCHES WITH ISOLATED AMOUNTS UP TO 5 INCHES ACROSS EASTERN PORTIONS
OF THE DOMINICAN REPUBLIC AS WELL THE TURKS AND CAICOS THROUGH
MONDAY.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...800 AM AST.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1100 AM AST.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

NNNN

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