Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Center on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
Subscribe the National Hurricane Center on YouTube Read the National Hurricane Center Inside the Eye blog on WordPress
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Hurricane ARTHUR


ZCZC MIAPWSAT1 ALL                                                  
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM                                                  
                                                                    
HURRICANE ARTHUR WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12                
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012014               
2100 UTC THU JUL 03 2014                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE ARTHUR WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE   
33.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
80 KTS...90 MPH...150 KM/H.                                         
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z THU AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z THU 06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z FRI 18Z FRI 06Z SAT 18Z SAT 18Z SUN 18Z MON 18Z TUE
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CAPE RACE NFLD 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
ILE ST PIERRE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  15(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
BURGEO NFLD    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  31(34)   X(34)   X(34)
BURGEO NFLD    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
PTX BASQUES    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   8( 8)  38(46)   X(46)   X(46)
PTX BASQUES    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)   X(11)   X(11)
PTX BASQUES    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
EDDY POINT NS  34  X   X( X)   X( X)  42(42)  18(60)   X(60)   X(60)
EDDY POINT NS  50  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  12(19)   X(19)   X(19)
EDDY POINT NS  64  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
SYDNEY NS      34  X   X( X)   X( X)  20(20)  31(51)   X(51)   X(51)
SYDNEY NS      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  12(13)   X(13)   X(13)
SYDNEY NS      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   X( 2)   X( 2)
 
SABLE ISLAND   34  X   X( X)   X( X)  21(21)   4(25)   X(25)   X(25)
 
HALIFAX NS     34  X   X( X)   5( 5)  72(77)   3(80)   X(80)   X(80)
HALIFAX NS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)  34(34)   2(36)   X(36)   X(36)
HALIFAX NS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
YARMOUTH NS    34  X   X( X)  31(31)  55(86)   X(86)   X(86)   X(86)
YARMOUTH NS    50  X   X( X)   3( 3)  49(52)   X(52)   X(52)   X(52)
YARMOUTH NS    64  X   X( X)   X( X)  18(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
MONCTON NB     34  X   X( X)   3( 3)  51(54)   4(58)   X(58)   X(58)
MONCTON NB     50  X   X( X)   X( X)  19(19)   3(22)   X(22)   X(22)
MONCTON NB     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
ST JOHN NB     34  X   X( X)   6( 6)  52(58)   1(59)   X(59)   X(59)
ST JOHN NB     50  X   X( X)   X( X)  22(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)
ST JOHN NB     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
EASTPORT ME    34  X   X( X)  10(10)  38(48)   1(49)   X(49)   X(49)
EASTPORT ME    50  X   X( X)   X( X)  16(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
EASTPORT ME    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BAR HARBOR ME  34  X   X( X)  15(15)  18(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
BAR HARBOR ME  50  X   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
AUGUSTA ME     34  X   X( X)  10(10)   7(17)   1(18)   X(18)   X(18)
 
PORTLAND ME    34  X   X( X)  12(12)   4(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
CONCORD NH     34  X   1( 1)   7( 8)   2(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
BOSTON MA      34  X   2( 2)  22(24)   1(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
BOSTON MA      50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
HYANNIS MA     34  X   4( 4)  61(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)
HYANNIS MA     50  X   X( X)  23(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
HYANNIS MA     64  X   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
NANTUCKET MA   34  X   4( 4)  77(81)   1(82)   X(82)   X(82)   X(82)
NANTUCKET MA   50  X   X( X)  44(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)   X(44)
NANTUCKET MA   64  X   X( X)  16(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)   X(16)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   4( 4)  29(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)   X(33)
PROVIDENCE RI  50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
HARTFORD CT    34  X   3( 3)   8(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   6( 6)  34(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)
MONTAUK POINT  50  X   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
NEW YORK CITY  34  X   7( 7)   5(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  X   5( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  X   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  1  15(16)   1(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)   X(17)
 
BALTIMORE MD   34  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
DOVER DE       34  2   7( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
ANNAPOLIS MD   34  2   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
WASHINGTON DC  34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34  2  38(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)   X(40)
OCEAN CITY MD  50  X   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
RICHMOND VA    34  2   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
NORFOLK NAS    34 25  24(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)   X(49)
NORFOLK NAS    50  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
NORFOLK VA     34 38  23(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)   X(61)
NORFOLK VA     50  2   5( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
NORFOLK VA     64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
WALLOPS CDA    34  2  37(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
WALLOPS CDA    50  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
RALEIGH NC     34  2   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
CAPE HATTERAS  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
CAPE HATTERAS  50 92   6(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)   X(98)
CAPE HATTERAS  64 61  19(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)   X(80)
 
MOREHEAD CITY  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MOREHEAD CITY  50 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
MOREHEAD CITY  64 92   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)   X(92)
 
WILMINGTON NC  34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
WILMINGTON NC  50 27   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)   X(27)
WILMINGTON NC  64  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
MYRTLE BEACH   34 99   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)   X(99)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    
NNNN                                                                


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Tuesday, 22-Jul-2014 12:09:06 UTC