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Hurricane ARTHUR


ZCZC MIATCMAT1 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
HURRICANE ARTHUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012014
0900 UTC FRI JUL 04 2014
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR CAPE COD HAS BEEN EXTENDED WESTWARD
TO WOODS HOLE.
 
THE HURRICANE WARNING WEST OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE LOOKOUT NORTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER
* PAMLICO SOUND
* EASTERN ALBEMARLE SOUND
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT
VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE MOUTH OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY
* WESTERN ALBEMARLE SOUND
* NANTUCKET
* CAPE COD FROM PROVINCETOWN TO WOODS HOLE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NEW BRUNSWICK FROM THE U. S./CANADA BORDER TO GRAND-ANSE
* ALL OF NOVA SCOTIA INCLUDING CAPE BRETON ISLAND
* ALL OF PRINCE EDWARD ISLAND
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD HAVE ALREADY BEEN COMPLETED.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN COASTAL PORTIONS OF NEW ENGLAND...NEW
BRUNSWICK...AND NEWFOUNDLAND SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF ARTHUR.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.0N  75.3W AT 04/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT  20 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  973 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  35SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  80SE  60SW  30NW.
34 KT.......100NE 110SE  90SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 180SE 180SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.0N  75.3W AT 04/0900Z
AT 04/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.4N  76.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 38.4N  72.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  35SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 60NE  90SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE  90SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 42.2N  68.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 120SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1800Z 45.5N  64.6W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  30SE  20SW  45NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 180SE 150SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 47.5N  61.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  60SE  60SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE 180SE 240SW 150NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0600Z 53.5N  53.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 150SE 120SW   0NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 59.0N  43.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0600Z 63.0N  35.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.0N  75.3W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 04/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Thursday, 27-Nov-2014 12:09:04 UTC