Hurricane ARTHUR

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HURRICANE ARTHUR FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012014
0900 UTC THU JUL 03 2014
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN EXTENDED NORTHWARD FROM DUCK NORTH
CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SURF CITY NORTH CAROLINA TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER
* PAMLICO SOUND
* EASTERN ALBEMARLE SOUND
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LITTLE RIVER INLET TO SOUTH OF SURF CITY
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA TO SOUTH OF SURF CITY
* THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER TO CAPE CHARLES LIGHT
VIRGINIA...INCLUDING THE MOUTH OF THE CHESAPEAKE BAY
* WESTERN ALBEMARLE SOUND
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE
AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA. ANY DEVIATION OF THE FORECAST TRACK TO THE
LEFT...OR AN INCREASE IN THE FORECAST SIZE OF ARTHUR WOULD LIKELY
REQUIRE THE ISSUANCE OF HURRICANE WARNINGS FOR ALL OR PART OF THE
HURRICANE WATCH AREA.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
INTERESTS ALONG THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST NORTH OF THE WARNING
AREA...PRIMARILY IN SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND...SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF ARTHUR.
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N  79.1W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT   8 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  985 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  50SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  80SE  60SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  50SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.3N  79.1W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 30.8N  79.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 32.5N  78.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 34.7N  76.1W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 110SE  80SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 37.5N  72.6W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...100NE 130SE 110SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 40.9N  67.9W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  90SE  90SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 150SE 150SW 110NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 47.5N  60.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT...  0NE 150SE  60SW   0NW.
34 KT... 90NE 210SE 210SW 180NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 54.0N  52.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 60.0N  50.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.3N  79.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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