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Tropical Storm SONIA


ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM SONIA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   9A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182013
400 AM PST SUN NOV 03 2013
 
...SONIA MOVING NORTHWARD...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 400 AM PST...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...19.3N 110.0W
ABOUT 250 MI...400 KM S OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
ABOUT 410 MI...665 KM SSW OF CULIACAN MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAZATLAN TO ALTATA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* NORTH OF ALTATA TO TOPOLOBAMPO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24
TO 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR AND ELSEWHERE IN WEST-CENTRAL
MAINLAND MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 AM PST...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SONIA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.0 WEST. SONIA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H...AND THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS FORECAST TO CONTINUE THROUGH THIS MORNING. A TURN TOWARD
THE NORTH-NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED
TO BEGIN BY THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING. ON THE FORECAST TRACK....THE
CENTER OF THE CYCLONE WILL PASS SOUTH OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA LATER TODAY AND TONIGHT...AND APPROACH
THE COAST OF MAINLAND MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA BY EARLY
MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE BEFORE SONIA MAKES
LANDFALL ON MONDAY.  RAPID WEAKENING WILL BEGIN AFTER SONIA MAKES
LANDFALL.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM...
MAINLY TO THE NORTHWEST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED IN THE WARNING AREA BY
EARLY MONDAY. TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH
AREA ON MONDAY.
 
RAINFALL...SONIA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES...ALONG
THE WEST COAST OF MEXICO ACROSS PORTIONS OF SINALOA AND WESTERN
DURANGO. THESE RAINS MAY PRODUCE LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND
MUDSLIDES.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...700 AM PST.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Apr-2014 23:29:40 UTC