Hurricane RAYMOND

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HURRICANE RAYMOND FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP172013
2100 UTC TUE OCT 22 2013
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TECPAN DE GALEANA TO LAZARO CARDENAS
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO TECPAN DE GALEANA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO TECPAN DE GALEANA
 
HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 101.9W AT 22/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT IS STATIONARY
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE   0SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  75SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 101.9W AT 22/2100Z
AT 22/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.3N 101.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 16.1N 102.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE  20SW   0NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 15.9N 103.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 15.7N 104.1W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 15.5N 105.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 15.3N 108.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 26/1800Z 15.5N 112.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 27/1800Z 16.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.3N 101.9W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN
 
 
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