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Tropical Storm OCTAVE


ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   7A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152013
1100 AM PDT MON OCT 14 2013
 
...OUTER RAINBANDS OF OCTAVE NOW AFFECTING MUCH OF THE SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.4N 113.6W
ABOUT 140 MI...220 KM SW OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...997 MB...29.44 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SANTA FE TO PUNTA ABREOJOS
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 

DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM OCTAVE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 113.6 WEST. OCTAVE
IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H. THIS GENERAL
MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TODAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TO THE
NORTH-NORTHEAST TONIGHT. A NORTHEASTWARD MOTION WITH A DECREASE IN
FORWARD SPEED SHOULD OCCUR BY TUESDAY MORNING. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF OCTAVE IS EXPECTED TO APPROACH THE WEST COAST
OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR BY TUESDAY MORNING.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. ADDITIONAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS...
AND OCTAVE COULD BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION ON TUESDAY BY THE
TIME IT NEARS THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 997 MB...29.44 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...OCTAVE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS
OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER MUCH OF THE CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES
POSSIBLE.
 
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING
NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER MAKES LANDFALL.  NEAR THE
COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND DESTRUCTIVE
WAVES.
 
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY OCTAVE ARE BEGINNING TO AFFECT THE WEST
COAST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR. THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Apr-2014 23:29:35 UTC