Tropical Depression OCTAVE

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OCTAVE ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152013
800 AM PDT TUE OCT 15 2013
 
...OCTAVE EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW OVER THE GULF OF
CALIFORNIA LATER TODAY...
...HEAVY RAINS AFFECTING THE MEXICAN STATE OF SONORA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...25.4N 110.8W
ABOUT 115 MI...185 KM WSW OF LOS MOCHIS MEXICO
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM S OF GUAYMAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...ENE OR 60 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB...29.74 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
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AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OCTAVE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 110.8 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H.
THIS GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THIS MORNING...FOLLOWED
BY A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST OR THE NORTH-NORTHEAST BY TONIGHT. ON
THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF OCTAVE WILL LIKELY MOVE SLOWLY
OVER THE GULF OF CALIFORNIA UNTIL IT DISSIPATES ON WEDNESDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  STEADY WEAKENING IS EXPECTED...AND THE DEPRESSION IS
FORECAST TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW LATER TODAY.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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RAINFALL...TROPICAL DEPRESSION OCTAVE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL
RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE MAINLAND MEXICO STATE OF SONORA.
ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL
AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
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