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NOAA NOAA United States Department of Commerce

Tropical Depression OCTAVE


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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION OCTAVE ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP152013
200 AM PDT TUE OCT 15 2013
 
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION EXPECTED TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW
LATER TODAY...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...25.5N 112.0W
ABOUT 50 MI...85 KM NNE OF CABO SAN LAZARO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNE OR 25 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION OCTAVE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 25.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 112.0 WEST. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H.
A NORTH-NORTHEASTWARD DRIFT IS EXPECTED LATER TODAY. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER WILL LIKELY MEANDER OVER THE SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA TODAY. 
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  THE DEPRESSION IS FORECAST TO DEGENERATE INTO A REMNANT LOW
LATER TODAY.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...TROPICAL DEPRESSION OCTAVE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL
RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS
OF 8 INCHES POSSIBLE OVER THE MAINLAND MEXICO STATE OF SONORA.
ADDITIONAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 2 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE OVER
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...WITH MAXIMUM STORM TOTAL
AMOUNTS OF 8 INCHES.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER AVILA
 
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