Tropical Storm MANUEL

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MANUEL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  10A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132013
500 PM PDT SUN SEP 15 2013
 
...MANUEL INLAND OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...
...TORRENTIAL RAINS CONTINUE...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...19.5N 104.5W
ABOUT 35 MI...60 KM NNW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 320 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...15 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ZIHUATANEJO TO MANZANILLO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WEST OF MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
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AT 500 PM PDT...0000 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MANUEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 19.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 104.5 WEST. MANUEL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  CONTINUED WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND MANUEL IS EXPECTED TO
DISSIPATE ON MONDAY.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165
KM...TO THE SOUTHEAST AND SOUTH OF THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES...
IS BASED ON MEXICAN SURFACE OBSERVATIONS.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
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RAINFALL...MANUEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN
OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF GUERRERO AND MICHOACAN...
WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE.  RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 5 TO 10 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF
20 INCHES ARE POSSIBLE IN THE MEXICAN STATES OF COLIMA...JALISCO
AND NAYARIT. THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...ESPECIALLY IN REGIONS OF MOUNTAINOUS
TERRAIN.
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING IN PORTIONS OF THE
WARNING AREA AND WILL CONTINUE INTO THIS EVENING. TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA TONIGHT AND MONDAY.
 
STORM SURGE...WATER LEVELS ALONG THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO
SHOULD BE SUBSIDING DURING THE NEXT SEVERAL HOURS.
 
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MANUEL ARE STILL AFFECTING PORTIONS OF
THE COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND MANZANILLO.
THESE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO SUBSIDE LATER TONIGHT.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/STEWART
 
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