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Tropical Storm MANUEL


ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL CCA
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MANUEL INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   8A...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132013
500 AM PDT SUN SEP 15 2013

CORRECTED INITIAL MOTION FROM NORTH-NORTHWEST TO NORTHWEST
 
...CENTER OF MANUEL VERY NEAR THE SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO...
...POTENTIAL FOR EXTREMELY HEAVY RAINS AND LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODING CONTINUES...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.2N 103.3W
ABOUT 75 MI...120 KM WNW OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 9 MPH...14 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LAZARO CARDENAS TO MANZANILLO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO EAST OF LAZARO CARDENAS
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF MANUEL.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 500 AM PDT...1200 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MANUEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 103.3 WEST. MANUEL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...14 KM/H.  THIS GENERAL
MOTION SHOULD CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF MANUEL IS EXPECTED TO MOVE VERY NEAR THE
SOUTHWESTERN COAST OF MEXICO THIS MORNING AND THEN MOVE INLAND BY
THIS AFTERNOON.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN STRENGTH IS EXPECTED PRIOR TO LANDFALL.
RAPID WEAKENING IS FORECAST AFTER LANDFALL.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 105 MILES...165 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...MANUEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN
OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF OAXACA...GUERRERO...AND
MICHOACAN...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE.
LESSER BUT STILL SIGNIFICANT RAINFALL AMOUNTS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE
MEXICAN STATES OF COLIMA AND JALISCO.  THESE RAINS ARE LIKELY TO
RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
ESPECIALLY IN REGIONS OF MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN.
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE OCCURRING IN PORTIONS OF THE
WARNING AREA.  HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE STILL POSSIBLE IN THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA TODAY BEFORE THE CENTER OF MANUEL REACHES
THE COAST.
 
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING
NEAR AND TO THE EAST OF WHERE THE CENTER OF MANUEL MAKES LANDFALL.
NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.
 
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MANUEL ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND MANZANILLO.
THESE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND WILL CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS.  PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN/FRANKLIN
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Apr-2014 23:29:32 UTC