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Tropical Storm MANUEL


ZCZC MIATCPEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MANUEL SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER  17
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132013
1100 AM PDT WED SEP 18 2013
 
...MANUEL QUICKLY STRENGTHENS...
...HURRICANE WATCH ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF WEST-CENTRAL MEXICIO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.6N 107.9W
ABOUT 100 MI...160 KM WNW OF MAZATLAN MEXICO
ABOUT 135 MI...220 KM ENE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...992 MB...29.29 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WATCH ALONG
THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO FROM LA CRUZ TO TOPOLOBAMPO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LA CRUZ TO TOPOLOBAMPO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAZATLAN TO TOPOLOBAMPO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CABO SAN LUCAS TO SAN EVARISTO
 
A HURRICANE WATCH MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE
WITHIN THE WATCH AREA....IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MANUEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.9 WEST. MANUEL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 5 MPH...7 KM/H...AND THIS
GENERAL MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH THURSDAY.  ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MANUEL WILL APPROACH THE WEST-
CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE HURRICANE WATCH AREA LATE
THURSDAY.
 
SATELLITE DATA INDICATE THAT MANUEL HAS STRENGTHENED.  MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED AND MANUEL COULD
BE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH WHEN IT APPROACHES THE COAST.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...55 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...MANUEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN OVER
THE MEXICAN STATE OF SINALOA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15
INCHES POSSIBLE.  MANUEL IS ALSO FORECAST TO PRODUCE 3 TO 5 INCHES
OF RAIN OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF NAYARIT AND OVER THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS.
THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES.
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF
THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE POSSIBLE WITHIN THE
HURRICANE WATCH AREA THURSDAY.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALSO
POSSIBLE IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Apr-2014 23:29:31 UTC