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Tropical Storm MANUEL (Text)


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TROPICAL STORM MANUEL ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132013
800 AM PDT WED SEP 18 2013
 
...MANUEL BECOMES A TROPICAL STORM AGAIN...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR A PORTION OF MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...23.4N 107.8W
ABOUT 90 MI...145 KM W OF MAZATLAN MEXICO
ABOUT 140 MI...220 KM ENE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1000 MB...29.53 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG
THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO FROM MAZATLAN TO TOPOLOBAMPO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAZATLAN TO TOPOLOBAMPO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CABO SAN LUCAS TO SAN EVARISTO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MANUEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 23.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.8 WEST. MANUEL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST NEAR 3 MPH...6 KM/H.  A SLOW
NORTH-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE
TONIGHT.  MANUEL IS FORECAST TO BECOME NEARLY STATIONARY THURSDAY
NIGHT AND FRIDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF MANUEL IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE SEA OF CORTEZ
DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 40 MPH...65
KM/H...WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 35 MILES...
55 KM...MAINLY TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1000 MB...29.53 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...MANUEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 5 TO 10 INCHES OF RAIN OVER
THE MEXICAN STATE OF SINALOA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 15
INCHES POSSIBLE.  MANUEL IS ALSO FORECAST TO PRODUCE 3 TO 5 INCHES
OF RAIN OVER THE MEXICAN STATE OF NAYARIT AND OVER THE SOUTHERN
PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA DURING THE NEXT FEW DAYS. 
THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD
SLIDES.
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED ALONG PORTIONS OF 
THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO WITHIN THE WARNING AREA DURING 
THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.  TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE ALSO POSSIBLE 
IN THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA WITHIN THE WATCH AREA BY
LATE THURSDAY.

 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
NNNN

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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Apr-2014 23:29:31 UTC