Tropical Storm MANUEL

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM MANUEL ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132013
800 PM PDT SAT SEP 14 2013
 
...HURRICANE WARNING ISSUED AS MANUEL CONTINUES TO STRENGTHEN...
...LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES ARE POSSIBLE...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...17.2N 102.3W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM S OF LAZARO CARDENAS MEXICO
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM SE OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...985 MB...29.09 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
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CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR THE
PACIFIC COAST OF MEXICO FROM LAZARO CARDENAS TO MANZANILLO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LAZARO CARDENAS TO MANZANILLO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO EAST OF LAZARO CARDENAS
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT
12 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE
RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF MANUEL.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM MANUEL WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 102.3 WEST. MANUEL IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH...9 KM/H. A MOTION TOWARD THE
NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT DAY OR TWO. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...MANUEL SHOULD BE NEAR THE COAST OF SOUTHWESTERN
MEXICO WITHIN THE HURRICANE WARNING AREA BY EARLY SUNDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE...
AND MANUEL COULD BE A HURRICANE WHEN IT MAKES LANDFALL ON SUNDAY.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 275 MILES...445 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 985 MB...29.09 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...MANUEL IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE 10 TO 15 INCHES OF RAIN
OVER PORTIONS OF THE MEXICAN STATES OF OAXACA AND GUERRERO...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 25 INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS ARE
LIKELY TO RESULT IN LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES...
ESPECIALLY IN MOUNTAINOUS TERRAIN. DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS...ALMOST
5 INCHES...122 MM...OF RAINFALL HAS OCCURRED IN HUATULCO MEXICO.
 
WIND...HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO REACH PORTIONS OF THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA EARLY SUNDAY...WITH TROPICAL STORM
CONDITIONS EXPECTED TO BEGIN SOON.
 
STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE COASTAL FLOODING
NEAR AND TO THE RIGHT OF WHERE THE CENTER OF MANUEL MAKES LANDFALL. 
NEAR THE COAST...THE SURGE WILL BE ACCOMPANIED BY LARGE AND
DESTRUCTIVE WAVES.

SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY MANUEL ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE
COAST OF MEXICO BETWEEN THE GULF OF TEHUANTEPEC AND MANZANILLO.
THESE SWELLS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS...AND WILL CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND RIP CURRENT
CONDITIONS. PLEASE CONSULT PRODUCTS FROM YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
 
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