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Tropical Storm MANUEL


ZCZC MIATCMEP3 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL STORM MANUEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132013
2100 UTC WED SEP 18 2013
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS REPLACED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
AND HURRICANE WATCH WITH A HURRICANE WARNING ALONG THE WEST-CENTRAL
COAST OF MEXICO FROM LA CRUZ TO TOPOLOBAMPO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LA CRUZ TO TOPOLOBAMPO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAZATLAN TO LA CRUZ
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CABO SAN LUCAS TO SAN EVARISTO
 
A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT
24 TO 36 HOURS.  PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD
BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 108.1W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 335 DEGREES AT   4 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 108.1W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N 108.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 24.5N 108.4W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 25.0N 108.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 25.3N 108.6W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 25.4N 108.8W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 25.4N 109.0W...NEAR THE COAST
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 25.4N 109.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.9N 108.1W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Apr-2014 23:29:31 UTC