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Tropical Storm MANUEL (Text)


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TROPICAL STORM MANUEL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132013
1500 UTC WED SEP 18 2013
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG
THE WEST-CENTRAL COAST OF MEXICO FROM MAZATLAN TO TOPOLOBAMPO.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MAZATLAN TO TOPOLOBAMPO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CABO SAN LUCAS TO SAN EVARISTO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 107.8W AT 18/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 330 DEGREES AT   3 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1000 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.4N 107.8W AT 18/1500Z
AT 18/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.2N 107.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 23.8N 108.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 24.3N 108.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/0000Z 24.5N 108.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 24.5N 109.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE   0SW  20NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 24.3N 109.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 24.0N 110.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1200Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.4N 107.8W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 18/2100Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BROWN
 
 
NNNN

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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Apr-2014 23:29:31 UTC