Tropical Storm LORENA

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LORENA INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   4A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122013
1100 PM PDT THU SEP 05 2013
 
...LORENA CONTINUES AS A TROPICAL STORM PARALLELING THE MEXICAN
COAST...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...21.0N 107.8W
ABOUT 145 MI...235 KM WNW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 190 MI...305 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
*  BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM AGUA BLANCA TO BUENAVISTA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
*  BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR NORTH OF AGUA BLANCA TO SANTA FE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 TO
48 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 PM PDT...0600 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.8 WEST. LORENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/H...AND THIS MOTION
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY MORNING. A SLOWER
NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE FRIDAY...FOLLOWED BY
A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST BY LATE SATURDAY. ON THE FORECAST
TRACK...THE CENTER OF LORENA WILL APPROACH THE SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON FRIDAY AND THEN BE NEAR OR OVER LAND BY
SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR
SO.  WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO BEGIN BY FRIDAY NIGHT OR SATURDAY
WHEN LORENA BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH LAND.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...LORENA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO
AND THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINS COULD
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN THE
WARNING AREA FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND COULD CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA SATURDAY.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/AVILA
 
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