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BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E
INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER   2A...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122013
1100 AM PDT THU SEP 05 2013

CORRECTED FOR ADVISORY HEADER
 
...HEAVY RAINS SPREADING OVER SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...18.7N 106.6W
ABOUT 135 MI...215 KM WSW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
ABOUT 355 MI...570 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 315 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
*  BAJA CALIFORNIA FROM AGUA BLANCA TO BUENAVISTA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 48 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
SATELLITE IMAGES SUGGEST THAT THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION COULD BE
REFORMING FARTHER TO THE NORTH.  AT 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE
CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE-E WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE
18.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 106.6 WEST. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD
THE NORTHWEST NEAR 7 MPH...11 KM/H.  THIS GENERAL MOTION WITH SOME
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF
DAYS.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE DEPRESSION WILL BE NEARING THE
SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA EARLY ON
SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS EXPECTED...AND THE DEPRESSION IS
FORECAST TO BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...THE DEPRESSION IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO
AND THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINS COULD
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA
EARLY ON SATURDAY.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/PASCH
 
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