Tropical Storm LORENA

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LORENA ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122013
200 AM PDT FRI SEP 06 2013
 
...LORENA CONTINUES AS A TROPICAL STORM PARALLELING THE MEXICAN
COAST...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...21.3N 108.3W
ABOUT 150 MI...245 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
ABOUT 180 MI...290 KM WNW OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
*  BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM AGUA BLANCA TO BUENAVISTA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
*  BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR NORTH OF AGUA BLANCA TO SANTA FE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 TO
48 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 200 AM PDT...0900 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LORENA WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 21.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 108.3 WEST. LORENA IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 14 MPH...22 KM/H.  THE TROPICAL
STORM IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE TOWARD THE NORTHWEST AT A SLOWER RATE
OF SPEED OVER THE NEXT TWO DAYS.  THE CENTER OF LORENA IS
ANTICIPATED TO MAKE LANDFALL LATE TODAY OR SATURDAY IN SOUTHERN
BAJA CALIFORNIA.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  LITTLE CHANGE IN INTENSITY IS EXPECTED UP UNTIL LANDFALL. 
AFTER LANDFALL IN SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA...LORENA SHOULD WEAKEN
UNTIL DISSIPATION ON SUNDAY OR MONDAY.

TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM...
PRIMARILY TO THE NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1005 MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...LORENA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE
BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...WITH ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10
INCHES POSSIBLE. THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH
FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN THE
WARNING AREA LATE THIS MORNING OR THIS AFTERNOON AND COULD
CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY.  TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE
IN THE WATCH AREA SATURDAY.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...500 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...800 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA/AVILA
 
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