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Tropical Storm LORENA


ZCZC MIATCPEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LORENA ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122013
800 PM PDT THU SEP 05 2013
 
...CENTER OF LORENA RE-FORMS FARTHER NORTH...
...TROPICAL STORM WARNING ISSUED FOR EXTREME SOUTHERN BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.4N 107.6W
ABOUT 125 MI...200 KM W OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
ABOUT 225 MI...365 KM SE OF CABO SAN LUCAS MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 325 DEGREES AT 13 MPH...20 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR
BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM AGUA BLANCA TO BUENAVISTA.  A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH HAS ALSO BEEN ISSUED FOR THE WEST COAST OF BAJA
CALIFORNIA SUR NORTH OF AGUA BLANCA TO SANTA FE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
*  BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM AGUA BLANCA TO BUENAVISTA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
*  BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR NORTH OF AGUA BLANCA TO SANTA FE
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE
NEXT 24 TO 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 36 TO
48 HOURS.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
SATELLITE IMAGES INDICATE THAT THE CENTER OF LORENA HAS RE-FORMED
FARTHER NORTH.  AT 800 PM PDT...0300 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL
STORM LORENA WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.6
WEST.  LORENA IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20
KM/H...AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE THROUGH FRIDAY
MORNING.  A SLOWER NORTHWESTWARD MOTION IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN LATE 
FRIDAY...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST BY LATE
SATURDAY.  ON THE FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF LORENA WILL
APPROACH THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA ON FRIDAY AND THEN
BE NEAR OR OVER LAND BY SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS OR
SO.  WEAKENING IS FORECAST TO BEGIN BY FRIDAY NIGHT OR SATURDAY
WHEN LORENA BEGINS TO INTERACT WITH LAND.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 80 MILES...130 KM
NORTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE BASED ON SHIP REPORTS IS 1005
MB...29.68 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...LORENA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAINFALL
ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES OVER THE SOUTHWEST COAST OF MEXICO
AND THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...WITH
ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 10 INCHES POSSIBLE.  THESE RAINS COULD
PRODUCE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
WIND...TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN IN THE
WARNING AREA FRIDAY AFTERNOON AND COULD CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS ARE POSSIBLE IN THE WATCH AREA SATURDAY.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 PM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 AM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BERG/BRENNAN
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Apr-2014 23:29:30 UTC