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Tropical Storm ERICK


ZCZC MIATCPEP5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERICK INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  13A
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052013
1100 AM PDT SUN JUL 07 2013
 
...ERICK BECOMING LESS ORGANIZED...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.0N 107.7W
ABOUT 245 MI...395 KM SE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...65 MPH...100 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...993 MB...29.32 INCHES
 

WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 1100 AM PDT...1800 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERICK WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.7 WEST. ERICK HAS
WOBBLED WESTWARD DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT IS EXPECTED TO
RESUME MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H.  A
WEST-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST TRACK IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE
OF DAYS.  ERICK SHOULD PASS NEAR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA
CALIFORNIA PENINSULA EARLY MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 65 MPH...100 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 993 MB...29.32 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR BY EARLY MONDAY.
 
RAINFALL...ERICK IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES OVER JALISCO...NAYARIT...SINALOA...WESTERN DURANGO...
AND THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES. THESE RAINS COULD CAUSE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY ERICK ARE AFFECTING THE COAST OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
TODAY.  THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Apr-2014 23:29:21 UTC