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Tropical Storm ERICK (Text)

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BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ERICK ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052013
800 AM PDT SUN JUL 07 2013
 
...ERICK WEAKENS TO A TROPICAL STORM...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
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LOCATION...20.0N 107.3W
ABOUT 260 MI...420 KM SE OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA
ABOUT 205 MI...335 KM WNW OF MANZANILLO MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...70 MPH...110 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING
FOR MAINLAND MEXICO FROM MANZANILLO TO CABO CORRIENTES.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR FROM SANTA FE TO LA PAZ
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA OUTSIDE OF THE
UNITED STATES...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR NATIONAL
METEOROLOGICAL SERVICE.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 800 AM PDT...1500 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ERICK WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 107.3 WEST. ERICK IS
MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHWEST NEAR 10 MPH...17 KM/H.  A NORTHWEST TO
WEST-NORTHWEST TRACK IS EXPECTED OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.
ERICK SHOULD CONTINUE TO MOVE FARTHER AWAY FROM SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO
TODAY...AND PASS NEAR THE SOUTHERN PORTION OF THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA EARLY MONDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 70 MPH...110 KM/H...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  GRADUAL WEAKENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT
48 HOURS. 
 
TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 70 MILES...110 KM
FROM THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 989 MB...29.21 INCHES.
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO BEGIN WITHIN THE
WARNING AREA IN BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR BY EARLY MONDAY.
 
RAINFALL...ERICK IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN ACCUMULATIONS OF
2 TO 4 INCHES OVER JALISCO...NAYARIT...SINALOA...WESTERN
DURANGO...AND THE SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA...WITH
POSSIBLE ISOLATED MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 6 INCHES.  THESE RAINS COULD
CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
SURF...SWELLS GENERATED BY ERICK ARE AFFECTING THE COAST OF
SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO AND WILL BEGIN TO AFFECT BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR
TODAY.  THESE SWELLS ARE LIKELY TO CAUSE LIFE-THREATENING SURF AND
RIP CURRENT CONDITIONS.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
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NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...1100 AM PDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...200 PM PDT.
 
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE/STEWART
 
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