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Tropical Storm ERICK


ZCZC MIATCMEP5 ALL 
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM CCA
 
TROPICAL STORM ERICK FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052013
0300 UTC FRI JUL 05 2013
 
CORRECTED TO ADD 50 KT WIND RADII AT 24 HOURS

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FROM
LAZARO CARDENAS TO LA FORTUNA.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* LAZARO CARDENAS TO MANZANILLO
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ACAPULCO TO EAST OF LAZARO CARDENAS
* WEST OF MANZANILLO TO LA FORTUNA
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 100.0W AT 05/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 310 DEGREES AT  10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.9N 100.0W AT 05/0300Z
AT 05/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.6N  99.6W
 
FORECAST VALID 05/1200Z 15.8N 101.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.6N 102.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 17.4N 103.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  30SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 18.3N 105.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  30SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 19.9N 108.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  20SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/0000Z 21.2N 112.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/0000Z 22.0N 117.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.9N 100.0W
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
 
NNNN


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Page last modified: Monday, 07-Apr-2014 23:29:20 UTC