Post-Tropical Cyclone ERICK
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POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE ERICK DISCUSSION NUMBER 21
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP052013
800 AM PDT TUE JUL 09 2013
ERICK HAS BEEN DEVOID OF ANY SIGNIFICANT CONVECTION FOR AT LEAST
12 HOURS NOW...WHICH MEANS THE SYSTEM HAS DEGENERATED INTO A REMNANT
LOW. THE CYCLONE IS EXPECTED TO MOVE NORTHWESTWARD TO
WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 7-8 KT FOR THE NEXT 48 HOURS...WHICH WILL
KEEP THE SYSTEM OVER 20-21C SST WATER. THIS SHOULD RESULT IN THE
REMNANT LOW OF ERICK DISSIPATING WEST OF BAJA CALIFORNIA SUR BY 48
HOURS.
FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THE REMNANT LOW...PLEASE SEE HIGH
SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER
AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFEPI AND WMO HEADER FZPN01 KWBC.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 09/1500Z 24.4N 113.2W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
12H 10/0000Z 25.1N 114.3W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 10/1200Z 25.7N 115.7W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 11/0000Z 26.3N 117.1W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 11/1200Z...DISSIPATED
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FORECASTER STEWART
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