Skip Navigation Links weather.gov   
NOAA logo - Click to go to the NOAA homepage National Weather Service   NWS logo - Click to go to the NWS homepage
National Hurricane Center
Local forecast by
"City, St" or "ZIP"

 
Alternate Formats
   Text     |   Mobile
   Email   |   RSS XML/RSS logo
   About Alternates
Cyclone Forecasts
   Latest Advisory
   Past Advisories
   Audio/Podcasts
   About Advisories
Marine Forecasts
   Atlantic & E Pacific
   Gridded Marine
   About Marine
Tools & Data
   Satellite | Radar
   Analysis Tools
   Aircraft Recon
   GIS Datasets
   Data Archive
Development
   Experimental
   Research
   Forecast Accuracy
Outreach & Education
   Prepare
   Storm Surge
   About Cyclones
   Cyclone Names
   Wind Scale
   Most Extreme
   Forecast Models
   Breakpoints
   Resources
   Glossary | Acronyms
   Frequent Questions
Our Organization
   About NHC
   Mission & Vision
   Staff | Q&A
   Visitors | Virtual Tour
   Library Branch
   NCEP | Newsletter
Contact Us
   Comments
Follow the National Hurricane Center on Facebook Follow the National Hurricane Center on Twitter
Subscribe the National Hurricane Center on YouTube Read the National Hurricane Center Inside the Eye blog on WordPress
FirstGov.gov is the U.S. Government's official Web portal to all Federal, state and local government Web resources and services.
 
 

Tropical Depression DALILA


ZCZC MIATCDEP4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION DALILA DISCUSSION NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP042013
800 PM PDT SAT JUL 06 2013
 
A LITTLE BIT OF DEEP CONVECTION WAS OCCURRING TO THE WEST OF THE
LOW-LEVEL CENTER OF DALILA EARLIER...BUT THE LAST SIGNIFICANT BURST
DISSIPATED A FEW HOURS AGO.  STRONG UPPER-LEVEL EASTERLY WINDS AND
SUBSIDENCE ASSOCIATED WITH THE OUTFLOW OF HURRICANE ERICK IS
SQUELCHING THE RE-DEVELOPMENT OF CONVECTION...AND SHOULD CONTINUE TO
DO SO ACCORDING TO THE MODEL GUIDANCE.  IF THE SYSTEM REMAINS
ABSENT OF DEEP CONVECTION FOR MUCH LONGER...IT WILL LIKELY BE
DESIGNATED A REMNANT LOW.  THE INTENSITY IS HELD AT 25 KT FOR THIS
ADVISORY...BUT THE WINDS SHOULD WEAKEN FURTHER IF NO NEW CONVECTION
REFORMS SOON.  THE INTENSITY FORECAST IS THE SAME AS BEFORE...AND
IN LINE WITH THE BULK OF THE MODEL INTENSITY OUTPUT.
 
DALILA DRIFTED SOUTH-SOUTHWESTWARD DURING THE PAST SEVERAL HOURS...
BUT APPEARS TO HAVE SHIFTED ITS HEADING TOWARD THE EAST OR EAST-
SOUTHEAST MORE RECENTLY.  GLOBAL MODELS SHOW THE CYCLONE OR ITS
REMNANTS GRADUALLY BEING ABSORBED BY THE LARGER CIRCULATION OF
HURRICANE ERICK DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS...FIRST MOVING
EASTWARD AND THEN TURNING NORTHWARD.  THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS
NUDGED SLIGHTLY TO THE RIGHT OF THE PREVIOUS ONE BUT IS GENERALLY
LEFT OR NEAR THE MULTI-MODEL CONSENSUS.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  07/0300Z 16.8N 113.0W   25 KT  30 MPH
 12H  07/1200Z 16.8N 112.9W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  08/0000Z 16.9N 112.7W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  08/1200Z 17.4N 112.5W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 48H  09/0000Z 18.0N 112.4W   15 KT  15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 72H  10/0000Z...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 
$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN
 
NNNN


Quick Navigation Links:
Tropical Cyclone Forecasts  -  Tropical Marine Forecasts  -  Data Archive
Outreach  -  Prepare  -  About Cyclones  -  About NHC  -  Contact Us

NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Credits
Information Quality
Glossary
Privacy Policy
Freedom of Information Act (FOIA)
About Us
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Monday, 07-Apr-2014 23:29:19 UTC